Deciding With Incomplete Information
Clarity does not require you to prove the future. Use the best evidence reasonably available, separate what you know from what you believe or assume, and say when evidence is limited or absent.
Evidence informs justification; it does not determine it alone. A decision can still be justified when uncertainty remains—for example, when waiting has greater consequences than acting. Make the uncertainty visible and match the commitment to what is known, what remains uncertain, and the consequences of being wrong.